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Forex Insights: Key Economic Events Shaping Currency Trends This October

Published at
10/1/2024
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economicnews
currencytrading
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Forex Insights: Key Economic Events Shaping Currency Trends This October

Economic News About Forex - October 1, 2024

Market-Moving Events and Economic Indicators

Upcoming Economic Calendar Events

  • September 27, 2024:
    • Several key events include the release of China's Industrial Profits (YTD) YoY, Japan's 3-Month Bill Auction, and various European indicators such as Business Confidence, Consumer Confidence, and Retail Sales YoY.
    • The US Core PCE Price Index YoY and MoM are scheduled, which are high-impact events for the USD.

Recent Economic Data Releases

  • Japan:
    • The BOJ Core CPI y/y was released at 2.1%, slightly above the forecast of 1.9%.
    • Machinery Orders YoY and MoM showed mixed results, with YoY at 8.7% and MoM at -0.1%.

Currency Pair Movements

  • EUR/USD:

    • The pair is under pressure, eyeing the 1.1100 level in the European session, influenced by the US Dollar's strength and upcoming German inflation data and Fed Chair Powell's speech.
    • EUR/USD is also affected by Chinese stimulus efforts and Fed-BoE policy divergence.
  • GBP/USD:

    • The pair has been grinding higher to near 1.3400, supported by China's stimulus-driven risk appetite, a subdued US Dollar, and Fed-BoE policy divergence.

Central Bank Activities

  • Federal Reserve:

    • Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s upcoming speech is highly anticipated and expected to influence market sentiment and currency pairs like EUR/USD and GBP/USD.
  • Bank of Canada:

    • BOC Governor Tiff Macklem’s speeches and the Monetary Policy Report are key events for CAD traders.
  • European Central Bank:

    • ECB officials, including Guindos and Schnabel, are scheduled to speak, which could impact EUR pairs.

Economic Indicators and Their Impact

  • US Economic Indicators:

    • The Core PCE Price Index, Initial Jobless Claims, and Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index are significant indicators that can move the USD.
  • Canadian Economic Indicators:

    • GDP MoM, CPI m/m, and Median CPI y/y are crucial for understanding the Canadian economy and its impact on CAD.
  • European Economic Indicators:

    • Retail Sales YoY, Business Confidence, and Consumer Confidence are key indicators for the EUR.

Market Sentiment and Trends

  • Risk Sentiment:

    • Chinese stimulus efforts have kept risk sentiment positive, despite geopolitical risks, influencing currency pairs and commodity prices.
  • Gold and Cryptocurrencies:

    • Gold prices are stable ahead of Powell’s speech, while Bitcoin faces resistance around $66,000 and shows potential for further gains.

Tools for Traders

  • Economic Calendars:
    • Real-time economic calendars from sources like Forex Factory, Myfxbook, and FXStreet provide comprehensive and timely data, helping traders anticipate market-moving events.

References https://www.forexfactory.com/calendar https://www.myfxbook.com/forex-economic-calendar https://www.fxstreet.com/news https://www.fxstreet.com/economic-calendar https://www.babypips.com/economic-calendar


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